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Margin Pressure: The Unhealthy Diet of EPS Growth

Why margin compression is Wall Street’s biggest under-the-radar risk
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The Fed’s Impossible Choice

JOLTS crosses, Beige Book cools: the Fed’s dual mandate is getting shredded in real time
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Mortgages, Term Premium, and the Bond Market’s Mood Swings

A market-savvy breakdown of term premium, the 10-year yield, and what rising uncertainty means for investors.
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From Ugly Duckling to Swan: Gold’s Unexpected Glow-Up

Gold is up 75% since 2023, outpacing the S&P 500—does this underdog have more steam left?
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The Season May Change, But the Market’s Thirst for Lower Rates Doesn’t

Stocks end August strong, but September’s seasonal weakness and Fed policy uncertainty loom.
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Don’t Fear The Bend: NVIDIA’s Growth In Context

Why toning down guidance makes sense–and why NVIDIA still outperforms.
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Is the U.S. Government the New Warren Buffett?

Should you invest alongside hedge funds, Berkshire Hathaway—or Washington DC?
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Dependence Day: The Fed, the President, and the Power Struggle Over Rates

The Fed’s independence isn’t guaranteed. History shows presidents push for cuts–and this time, the stakes may be even higher.
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Powell’s Dilemma: Tariffs, Jobs, and the Tragic Trade-Off

Why Powell may have no choice but to cut rates--even if inflation lingers.
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Forget AI Winter—This Is Rate-Cut Mourning Season

Markets are cycling through denial, anger, and depression over Fed rate cuts—Powell at Jackson Hole won’t make it easier.
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