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Flight Path to Volatility: Markets Enter Final Approach

Written by Mark Malek | Jul 31, 2025 12:32:13 PM
Your Post-it note of macro worries? Every box is getting checked—this week.
 
KEY TAKEAWAYS
  • Inflation, jobs, AI, tariffs, and the Fed–all seven market questions are being answered this week
  • Fed held rates steady with 2 rare dissents favoring cuts
  • GDP came in strong on paper but masked weakness in consumption and investment
  • Microsoft and Meta reported blowout earnings, boosting sentiment
  • Apple and Amazon earnings expected to be complex–especially with tariff exposure
MY HOT TAKES
  • GDP strength is skin-deep and driven by timing quirks from tariffs
  • The Fed is increasingly irrelevant and stuck in wait-and-see mode
  • AI leaders are widening the gap–MSFT, META, and NVDA are the new defensive plays
  • Tariffs are becoming more unpredictable and could hurt Apple’s margins
  • We're flying at altitude now, but the landing could be rough
  • You can quote me: “The Fed may be finding itself having less and less relevance in the markets by simply finding new ways to repeat its same message: ‘we don’t know what to do.’”