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Big cut, small cut, any cut at all

Stocks rallied on Friday as traders upped bets on a bigger up front rate cut at this week’s long-awaited FOMC meeting. University of Michigan Sentiment showed consumer confidence and lower inflation expectations for the upcoming year – both positive signs. Move on. Just when you think the...
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Markets’ high hopes for low rates

Stocks rallied yesterday with investors still not convinced that a bigger rate cut is off the table for next week’s FOMC meeting. Producer prices support the slowing inflation story keeping the Fed on track for its first rate cut in the Fed’s post-apocalyptic era.
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Nothing artificial about the market’s love for AI

Stocks rallied yesterday, closing at session highs, ushered by investors excited by AI prospects in the wake of CEO comments from NVIDIA and Oracle – that’s all it took. Consumer Price Index / CPI hit its lowest point since February of 2021, but core inflation remains stubborn yet.
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Inflated focus on inflation figures

Stocks had a mixed close yesterday as traders played ping-pong with rate cut bets. Bank bosses threw cold water on hot-blooded bulls with warnings about growth and consumer health, even as regulators threw them a bone – making things even more confusing for investors.
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Big betas can be your best friend – or worst enemy

Stocks rallied yesterday as investors picked through last week’s wreckage in search of bargains – some were found. Market volatility is the name of the game in this vacuum ahead of key inflation figures and next week’s FOMC; it is the cost of doing business.
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Last week’s weak employment, weak enough?

Stocks slid on Friday because bad economic numbers are bad, no matter how you look at it. Employment numbers missed their mark, which is bad, but perhaps not bad enough for the concession prize of a -50 basis-point cut.
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The mighty Fed versus the mightier monthly employment report

Stocks had a mixed close yesterday after a private US jobs figure missed estimates igniting further fears that an economic downturn is looming on the horizon. Weekly jobless claims came in more or less on expectation further clouding the market’s perception of labor market strength.
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